It’s an opinion survey that’s making noise on the left. Picardy Standing, the movement of François Ruffin, commissioned a poll which tested it in the hypothesis of a single candidacy on the left (except NPA). According to the study by the Cluster 17 institute, Marianne was able to consult, François Ruffin would obtain 29% of the votes in the first round of the 2027 presidential election, 1 point behind Marine Le Pen and 4 ahead of Edouard Philippe, tested as the majority candidate. In the second round, the match between the deputy for Somme and the far right would be close, with 50% of the votes cast for each of the candidates.
Tested in the same scenario of union of the left, Jean-Luc Mélenchon would only obtain 18% of voting intentions, or 11 points less than Ruffin, while Philippe would qualify for the second round with 31% of the votes. voice. In the event of a second round against the candidate of the National Rally, the leader of France Insoumise drops to 35% of voting intentions.
Why such a gap between the man who was a political neophyte during his first election as a deputy, in 2017, and the champion of the left of the decade? It turns out that certain categories of the population categorically refuse to cast a Mélenchon ballot, but could be seduced by a Ruffin vote. Marianne draws up the top 5 of these (fictitious) profiles which favor the deputy for the Somme.
