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Tuesday, September 27, 2022

Tua Tagovailoa’s MVP candidacy becomes a thing heading into Week 3

Even though Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is coming off winning his fourth career NFL MVP award, there’s no guarantee he’ll experience the same success after his top receiver darted for Vegas. Because of this uncertainty, we’re seeing other quarterbacks lead the way in the early 2022-23 NFL MVP betting odds.

Here’s a look at the latest NFL MVP odds from DraftKings in Week 3.

Player 2022-23 NFL MVP odds
Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills +300
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs +450
Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles +850
Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers +1000
Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens +1000
Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins +2000
Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers +2000
Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2000
Russell Wilson, QB, Denver Broncos +2500
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals +2500
Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals +2500
Derek Carr, QB, Las Vegas Raiders +3500
Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams +3000
Kirk Cousins, QB, Minnesota Vikings +5000
Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars +6000
Jameis Winston, QB, New Orleans Saints +7000
Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams +7000
Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings +7000
Stefon Diggs, WR, Buffalo Bills +8000
Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts +9000

Related: NFL games today – 2022 NFL schedule

NFL MVP odds 2022-2023: Breaking down biggest favorites

JAMIE GERMANO/ROCHESTER DEMOCRAT AND CHRONICLE / USA TODAY NETWORK
  • Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills: Becoming one of the best young QBs in football in just three years has catapulted Allen to the top of the NFL MVP odds for the 2022-23 season. His ability to put up otherworldly numbers through the air while being his team’s most explosive rushing option gives Allen a betting chance. If he can continue getting the ball out while still delivering with pinpoint accuracy, as we saw against a legit Rams defense, Allen’s on his way to a special season.
  • Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs: Swapping Tyreek Hill for JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling didn’t look to be a problem as Mahomes tossed five touchdowns in his season opener. If Mahomes continues putting up 4,700+ yards and 37+ touchdowns as he’s done in three-of-four seasons, his chances to win MVP will be strong.
  • Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles: Similar to Lamar Jackson, Hurts leads a potent offense that’s sure to be among the best rushing attacks in football as they were a year ago. Hurts will certainly bring somewhere near 1,000 yards rushing, but he also appears to have taken a major step forward as a passer. If he can maintain his completion rate (69.8%) and aggressiveness (NFL-leading 9.1 Y/A), an MVP trophy isn’t out of the question.
  • Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers: You can count on Herbert having another big season with the Bolts behind what should be a much-improved offensive line. Mike Williams and Keenan Allen are both good for 1,000-yard seasons, and this roster’s hungry to make the postseason, only now they have the pieces to do it. If their record is playoff-worthy, Herbert’s sure to be a top MVP candidate. He’s tougher than we think, too, standing in the pocket delivering bullets while dealing with fractured rib cartilage.
  • Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens: If there’s any underdog who probably shouldn’t be, it’s the former MVP winner himself. If Jackson can play the full season without getting hurt, he’ll return to being a top candidate. Jackson won’t suddenly start passing for 400 yards per game, but averaging a total of 300 combined through the air and on the ground will keep him in the running.
  • Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers: If anything, Rodgers having the same success without Davante Adams could boost his MVP chances as the year goes on. But first, he has to prove the Green Bay passing attack won’t stutter again as they did in Week 1. Even so, obviously, a 133-yard, two-interception performance didn’t hurt the four-time MVP’s odds then. Rodgers just might match Brett Favre’s record of being the only player to win back-to-back-to-back MVP awards.
  • Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Brady will return for a chance at winning his eighth Super Bowl ring behind a suspect offensive line. If he can overcome a potentially leaky line, we’d be a fool to doubt his chances of winning his fourth MVP in 2022. Especially if Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Julio Jones can all stay healthy. Either way, Brady will be reliable.
  • Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos: All it took was a trade away from the Seahawks for Wilson to once again be seen as an MVP favorite with a chance to win another Super Bowl. A strong receiving corps and a better line than he’s used to should allow Russ to cook again, only now the ball will be sailing through the Mile High air instead of the rainy Seattle dew.
  • Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals: Amazingly, Burrow got to the Super Bowl quicker than any other No. 1 overall pick in NFL history. There’s no telling what he can accomplish next. Paired with Ja’Marr Chase, why can’t Burrow become the MVP? Well, maybe if he’s constantly under pressure, as we’ve seen through two weeks.

Bottom line: As we saw last season, the MVP race doesn’t truly take shape until late in the season, when playoff teams start becoming established. If we’re predicting the 2022-23 NFL MVP right now, give us Josh Allen in what could be the top-scoring offense in the NFL. Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis both can win one-on-one battles downfield, leading to massive amounts of yards on game day. Allen will put up video game numbers this season.

While it’s a bit early to go all in on an MVP candidate with so many possibilities, chances are it will be a quarterback. The last time a non-QB won was back in 2012 when Adrian Peterson took home the trophy. One of the above quarterbacks will likely win the award, but players like Derrick Henry or Kyler Murray could emerge later on.

When will the 2022 NFL MVP be announced?

Last year Aaron Rodgers was announced as the league’s MVP for the 2021-22 season on Feb. 10, which took place three days before the Super Bowl. Stay tuned to find out when the NFL plans on officially announcing the MVP for the 2022-23 season.

WATCH: Sportsnaut’s Carolyn Manno on the latest NFL rumors



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