In the final turns of the race, two opinion polls showed the Democratic candidate leading Kamala Harris Between 19 and 29 points of the percentage of voters who cast their ballots early.
In the poll conducted by the American “Time” magazine and the “Siena Foundation” for statistics, Harris won 59 percent, compared to 40 percent for Trump.
The percentage rose to 62 percent for Harris, compared to 33 percent for Trump reconnaissance Another conducted by ABC News in cooperation with Ipsos.
Trump tried to appear decisive, as he confirmed that he was leading in the seven swing states that would decide the outcome of the elections, but without providing evidence of this.
He explained that the only thing that could stop him was “cheating,” referring to “various fraud attempts.”
These statements are the same allegations that Trump made 4 years ago when he lost the presidential race to President Joe Biden, as he spoke at the time about election fraud.
To whom do Arab voters lean in the US presidential elections?
Iraqi academic and politician Dr. Dhafer Al-Ani says that early voting in some states, which highlighted Harris’ progress, is not considered a sufficient indicator to allow a decision. Election resultRather, it only constitutes a boost to the confidence of the candidate who advanced in the poll.
Al-Ani said in an interview with Sky News Arabia, “It is expected that minorities and Arabs will play an important role in the outcome of the presidential elections, perhaps due to the unbalanced statements of one of the candidates or their supporters, as well as developments in the situation in the Middle East.”
It is believed that voters interested in foreign affairs will resort to… Punitive voting Against the Biden-Harris administration, due to their failure to deal with external conflicts.
On the other hand, Iranian academic and political researcher Mohammad Saleh Sedqian believes that “internal approaches were what governed the direction of… The American voter In the past, in general, the Arabs’ orientation was to support Democratic Party Who supported immigrants and immigration issues.”
Sadiqian adds, “The situation is different today, as… Foreign policy The division that occurs is due to what happens in… The Middle East “It could influence the decision of the American voter.”
He added to “Sky News Arabia” that the demonstrations that took place in American universities and Biden’s inability to stop the war in Gaza will have an impact on the voice of the Arab voter in America.
Arab division in America
In turn, political science professor Ibrahim Al-Nahhas believes that 3 million Arab votes in… American elections It will be governed primarily by external issues and the war file in Gaza and Lebanon, then the economic file and internal issues.
Al-Nahhas asserts to Sky News Arabia, “The Arabs in America are not considered a single bloc, which makes the Arab vote divided between more than one orientation, which is a weakness that does not serve the role that Arabs can play in these elections.”
Convergence of positions on Middle East issues
Vice President of the Middle East Institute in Washington, Paul Salem, confirms that the election results between…For the Republican Party Democratic and Democratic are often close, and it is difficult to predict the name of the winner in advance, which can be determined by a small percentage of votes from the swing states.
Salem continued to Sky News Arabia, “The positions of Harris and Trump on the situation in the Middle East are close, and the only difference between them is that Harris verbally expresses positions supportive of the Palestinians andThe two-state solution “Similar to Biden, who, however, does not pressure Israel to stop the war.”
On the other hand, he considers that what distinguishes these elections this year is “the intensity of polarization and the threat of violence shown by candidate Donald Trump, who rejected the election results in 2020 and today also threatens violence if he loses.”
