“newsroomOn Sky News Arabia, I discussed with the former official in the Ukrainian Security Service, Ivan Stupak, the latest developments in the war between… Russia And Ukraine.
Russia continues to target Ukrainian cities in its attempt to achieve strategic goals, while it has responded Ukraine By directing strikes into the Russian depths, which reflects a shift in the conflict strategy.
Ukrainian attacks…a response to the Russian military escalation
In response to the Russian attacks, Ukraine used missiles…Storm Shadow“British forces attacked targets inside Russian territory, which constituted a sharp shift in Ukrainian military tactics. These strikes on Russian facilities sparked angry reactions from Moscow, which threatened military escalation.
Stupak stressed that these attacks come at a sensitive time, noting that Russia sees these attacks as provocations that may lead to greater escalation. He explained that Russia seeks to respond decisively to these attacks to reduce any threats that may escalate.
Putin talks about negotiations
Moscow, in contrast, seeks to impose military control over specific regions within Ukraine, yet has stressed its readiness to discuss political solutions to end the conflict.
Russian President Vladimir Putin He indicated his readiness to discuss peaceful solutions, at a time when Ukraine rejects any settlement that harms its sovereignty.
Stupak noted that the Ukrainian side insists on certain conditions for negotiation, including security guarantees from NATO and a guarantee that Russian attacks will not be repeated in the future.
Future expectations: escalation or peaceful solution?
While talking about the future of the war, and about expectations about whether the war will move towards further escalation or lead to a peaceful solution, Stupak explained that the situation on the ground makes it difficult to determine the fate of the war, as continued escalation on both sides increases the possibility of a confrontation. directly between the great powers.
However, he noted that if the West continues to provide support to Ukraine, it may help strengthen its position, but it may also exacerbate tensions with Russia, leading to a larger crisis in the region.
NATO and Europe…the future of support for Ukraine
In this context, Stupak spoke about the ongoing military and economic support from countries NATO To Ukraine, noting that Western support still includes advanced weapons and financing, which enhances Ukraine’s ability to confront Russian attacks.
Regarding NATO’s position in the event that the war lasts, he stressed that this may prompt some European countries to re-evaluate their position regarding increasing military support for Ukraine.
He noted that some European countries may begin to reduce military support if the war continues for a longer period, for fear of escalating economic and political damage.
Future scenarios
Stupak stressed that the most likely scenario currently is the continuation of the war, in the absence of a near horizon for a political settlement, but he added that if changes occur on the ground, such as a change in Russian leadership or major military developments, this path may change.
He also pointed out that the horizon for negotiations seems distant at the present time, unless dramatic changes emerge at the level of the military fronts or in political positions.
Challenges to peace in Ukraine
remain The Russian-Ukrainian war At a crucial stage, with continued military escalation and mutual threats. As international pressure on Russia mounts, the question remains: Will Putin succeed in reaching political solutions, or will the war continue to escalate?.
