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Possible Lebanon War.. What is Netanyahu betting on?

Contradictory moves highlight deep divisions within Netanyahu governmentBetween a trend pushing towards military confrontation and another seeking to keep the door of dialogue open.

Despite the clear division between Netanyahu and Yoav GallantThe latter seemed to have lost patience as he broke his silence to play on the string of running out of time, saying: Israeli Minister of Defense The chances of a settlement in the north are fading, especially in light of Hezbollah’s continued insistence on linking the Lebanese and Israeli fronts to reaching a ceasefire agreement in Gaza.

It has become clear to the public that the Israeli interior is not united regarding the Lebanese front, as reports say that there is a conflict in the internal government positions to decide the fate of this front.

The Times of Israel said that Galant believes that the time is not right for such an attack, and wants to give a chance for a diplomatic solution in the north.

In field steps on the ground, it seems that Israel is moving or planning to move at least on the northern front. The commander of the northern brigade in the army, Uri Gordin, announced that his forces are ready to occupy a security strip on the Lebanese side, according to what the Israeli radio reported.

Gordin revealed that many of Hezbollah’s Radwan forces were killed or fled north, as did civilians, and about twenty percent of what it was before the war remained.

Member push development Israeli Knesset From Likud’s Ariel Kleiner, to the call to occupy a security strip in Lebanon reaching the Litani River.

All eyes are on Tel Aviv The Israeli Security Council is scheduled to approve, during its meeting today, expanding the war objectives on the northern front.

The Israeli Broadcasting Authority said that the Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu He is pushing for expanded operations in Lebanon with the support of the Northern Command commander, while Galant and Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi appear more reserved.

In this context, Sky News Arabia’s Israeli affairs editor, Nidal Kanaaneh, said:

  • Netanyahu wants the war in the Gaza Strip to continue, he does not want a war with Hezbollah.
  • Galant is a “headache” for Netanyahu.
  • Whoever puts Gideon Sa’ar as a minister certainly does not want war.
  • The escalation in Lebanon came as a pretext to get rid of Galant.
  • It seems that the issue of Sa’ar’s inclusion in the government is very imminent.
  • The war on the Lebanese front, as Netanyahu said, requires the army’s readiness and a favorable international position. US Reject this war.

To the sound of war drums, diplomacy is proceeding in parallel. US envoy Amos Hochstein discusses border demarcation with Lebanon during his visit to Israel.

According to estimates, the proposal includes redrawing the border to pass through the point where Hezbollah set up a military tent, which Israel says was built about thirty meters inside Israeli territory, and that the party withdraw military manifestations, especially the heavy ones south of the Litani, in exchange for Israel’s guarantee that it will not commit any land, sea, or air violations of Resolution 1701.

With the possible rejection of Hochstein’s proposal, Israeli security officials believe that it is expected that the transfer will take place. Tel Aviv The fighting and battles moved more strongly to the north of the country.

According to Israeli sources, the transformation of this front into military action has become inevitable, especially since the disputed land borders are considered fertile ground for the expansion of the conflict.

In this context, writer and political researcher Al-Hanan Miller told Sky News Arabia:

  • It seems that an agreement with Sa’ar is imminent, but replacing him with Galant seems very difficult.
  • Today, in light of the inability to free the hostages and the procrastination in reaching a border demarcation deal in Lebanon, Netanyahu is disappointed with Galant, but he is also afraid of the protests.
  • Exempting the Haredim from service adds to Netanyahu’s crises.
  • Netanyahu’s position has become difficult, his popularity is constantly declining, Galant may join the opposition and reveal all the secrets.
  • If all the files were opened publicly, it would make Netanyahu’s position more difficult.
  • Netanyahu is happy with the negotiations and is always postponing the decisive moment.

For his part, writer and political researcher Radwan Aqil said:

  • Netanyahu is unable to expand the confrontation due to his knowledge of Hezbollah’s expertise.
  • If Hochstein reaches a dead end with Netanyahu, he may not come to Beirut.
  • Netanyahu is playing with time and the US presidential elections.
  • Netanyahu’s strength is his control over the neck of the United States, which is preoccupied with elections.
  • It must be admitted that Hezbollah and all the parties in Lebanon look at Israel with the same eyes.
  • Internal Israeli disputes serve Lebanon’s interests.
  • Hezbollah does not see that Israel You will carry out a major aggression on Lebanon.



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