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How will the West act in the face of Iran’s nuclear threat?

How will the West act in the face of Iran’s nuclear threat?

The Iranian position came after the intensification of Israeli military movements against targets linked to Iran in the region, and according to official statements, the next Iranian steps will depend on the policies of the new American administration.

newsroomOn Sky News Arabia, I discussed with the researcher in political philosophy at the University of Paris, Dr. Rami Khalifa Al-Ali, the recent developments in the Iranian nuclear file and the increasing pressures from West on Tehran. This comes at a sensitive time, as it was presented US European countries issued a resolution condemning the lack of cooperation Iran In its nuclear file to the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency.

The decision comes after a series of developments taking place in the region, at a time when fears are increasing that Iran will possess nuclear weapons.

Iran is declining in uranium enrichment, but challenges continue

Al-Ali explained that Iran has taken concrete steps to stop increasing its stock of… Uranium Highly enriched, which was welcomed by the International Atomic Energy Agency. However, despite these steps, there is still international concern about Iran’s intentions in this file.

Al-Ali indicated that Iran is on the verge of crossing the “nuclear threshold,” meaning that it is very close to the ability to enrich uranium to the point that it can manufacture a nuclear bomb, which raises concerns among Western powers that are closely monitoring developments.

Will Western pressure contribute to accelerating or complicating negotiations?

Dr. Al-Ali discussed the role of Western pressure in the course of negotiations with Iran, where he said: Although there is an atmosphere of optimism about the diplomatic negotiations between Iran and European countries, including France, Britain, and Germany, there is a difference in visions between these parties, especially with the administration. Next American.

Al-Ali added that Western powers are dealing with the Iranian nuclear file in a complicated manner, as some parties seek to impose more economic and military pressure on Tehran, while some other countries see that negotiation is the only way to avoid escalation.

Iranian nuclear escalation…a threat to regional and international security

During the dialogue, Al-Ali spoke about intelligence reports indicating that Iran is capable of manufacturing nuclear weapons if it reaches the required level of uranium enrichment. This, along with the development of Iran’s ballistic missile project that can carry nuclear warheads, further complicates the security situation in the Middle East.

Al-Ali stressed that this combination of nuclear and missile capabilities makes it difficult for the West to accept this situation, which puts more pressure on Tehran.

Iran and the future of the nuclear file

In a question about whether Iran would respond to Western pressure by accelerating its nuclear program, Al-Ali said that Iran may resort to this option if it feels that its political and security position is threatened.

He added that the Iranian reaction will be complex, as the nuclear file cannot be separated from Iranian regional policies and its interventions in Syria, Iraq and Lebanon.

Al-Ali pointed out that Iran may use its nuclear file as a pressure card in negotiations, especially if it faces increasing international isolation or direct military pressure.

Internal challenges in Iran

As for the internal challenges facing Iran, Dr. Al-Ali pointed out that there is a state of popular discontent within Iran as a result of economic sanctions and the deteriorating economic situation in the country.

This dissatisfaction may affect Iranian political decisions in the future, as internal pressure may push the Iranian leadership to change its policy or at least reach a settlement with the West to ease these pressures.

The West is hesitant and Iran is on the defensive

Al-Ali stressed that Western countries are at a crossroads in dealing with the Iranian nuclear file. He said the West may need to make decisive decisions about sanctions or military intervention, but added that Iran would continue its pursuit of nuclear capabilities if a sustainable agreement was not reached.

As for Iran, the equation is clear for it: maintaining its nuclear program as a pressure card and protecting its regional influence, which will make Iran’s nuclear file remain open and controversial for a long time.



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