The percentage of Republicans in A has increasedFor early voting In key states, compared to four years ago, which reduced the Democratic lead in some states such as Pennsylvania, and even exceeded them in Nevada. That’s largely because some Republican voters who would normally vote on Election Day turned to early voting this year.
On the other hand, Democrats expect that a number of their voters who voted by mail in 2020 will go to the polls on Election Day this year, especially in the absence of the pressures of the Corona pandemic, which greatly affected voting patterns in previous elections.
The partisan composition of voting patterns
The partisan composition of early, mail-in, and Election Day voting appears to be different this year than it was in 2020. Data analysis suggests that Republican early voting this election season will be larger than it was in 2020, which could lead to a decline in the dramatic swings in the results. As the votes continue to be counted.
In the previous elections, preliminary results appeared in some… Swing states He represented Pennsylvania for former President Donald TrumpHowever, Joe Biden was able to advance later with the counting of more mail-in votes, which were characterized by a Democratic majority. This year, increased Republican early voting may provide more balanced and perhaps less severe primary results.
North Carolina: A Model for Change
North Carolina is a clear example of these transformations; It witnessed a record number of participation on the last day of early voting. At the beginning of the early voting period, Republicans led in the number of votes cast compared to Democrats and independents. This is due to the success of Republican efforts to encourage their base to vote early.
According to an analysis of state voting data, twice as many Republicans voted early this year as people who voted on Election Day in 2020 than Democrats did the same.
However, the last week witnessed a noticeable increase in the number of independent voters, who now represent the largest segment of early voters, and this was accompanied by an increase in the proportion of young people and voters of African descent who participated in the final days of early voting.
What awaits Republicans and Democrats?
Democrats are counting on this momentum to continue, getting their early 2020 voters who have not yet voted to turn out on Election Day, while Republicans can secure a large percentage of early votes that they did not achieve at the same time last election cycle. The most prominent question is the extent to which Republicans are able to invest these secured votes in focusing their efforts on motivating other voters who have not yet cast their ballots.
Similar patterns in the Sunbelt states
Similar patterns are repeated in Sunbelt states Other like Georgia And Nevada, where Republicans had previously made advances in early voting in recent weeks, but younger voters and people of different ethnic origins made up an increasing percentage of the electorate in the final days of voting.
