Sky News Arabia I discussed the dimensions of this agreement and its political and military repercussions with Khamis Al Ali, a researcher specializing in Israeli affairs at the Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research.
The impact of the truce on the Israeli political scene
Khamis Al Ali confirmed that there is a consensus at the Israeli political and military levels on the necessity of moving towards a truce with Lebanonwith the exception of the opposition of National Security Minister Itamar Ben Ghafir.
He explained that the military pressure that Israel faced prompted the political leadership to transform field achievements into political gains, but he pointed out that the Israeli opposition, led by figures such as Yair Lapid andBenny Gantzseeks to exploit Truce To attack Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, which increases the political challenges he faces.
Netanyahu: gains or political decline?
And about Benjamin’s future Netanyahu In light of the ceasefire agreement, Al Ali explained that recent opinion polls showed a slight decline in support Likud Party Led by Netanyahu, which raises questions about his ability to regain his popularity.
He added that the agreement with Lebanon may be considered a temporary truce if it is not accompanied by tangible progress in achieving Israeli goals, whether in Lebanon or Gaza.
Did Israel achieve its goals?
And about the extent of success Israel In achieving its stated and undeclared goals, Al Ali pointed out that Israeli army He believes that his efforts in Lebanon have been exhausted militarily, and that the current stage requires converting field momentum into political gains.
He added that achieving the vision of a “new Middle East” that Israel spoke about requires more time and international support.
Iran’s role in the Lebanon agreement
During the discussion, a report published by the New York Times was highlighted that indicated that the Iranian guide Ali Khamenei He gave the green light to Hezbollah to accept the armistice agreement with Israel through the Lebanese government, and here Al Ali considered that this development reflects Iran’s desire to avoid direct military escalation, while maintaining its regional influence.
A new testing phase in the region
It is worth noting that the truce between Israel and Lebanon represents the beginning of a new testing phase in the region, both at the internal Israeli level and in regional balances. The success of the truce depends on the parties’ commitment to the terms of the agreement and avoiding any new escalation.
