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It seems that the episodes of massacres and scenes of destruction that have been continuing in the Gaza Strip for nearly a year will repeat themselves on the Lebanese scene. Indeed, events are being replicated, as if Gaza and Beirut were two sides of the same coin. Even the truce negotiations, and the efforts to reach a mutual deal and ceasefire, and stop the war, have always failed. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, with his impossible conditions, which he repeatedly tries to impose to serve his personal and political interests, seemed to be repeating themselves.
After Netanyahu suggested to Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer to approve the American-French initiative, which called for a ceasefire in Lebanon for 21 days, and while the American administration was preparing to announce the details of the initiative publicly, Netanyahu retracted what observers described as silent understandings, threatening to launch more. Of the attacks on the Land of the Cedars, his response was to give the green light to his army to escalate the raids on Beirut, and in parallel to that, commit new massacres in the Gaza Strip, as happened in the Al-Faluga School.
Political pressure
Researchers specializing in Israeli affairs say that Netanyahu was subjected to great political pressure from leaders of his government coalition to change some of his positions, but he responded to this pressure by mobilizing other ministers from the Likud Party, asking them to make statements that could be easily retracted whenever the situation required, including what was issued by the Settlement Minister. To maintain his presence in power, and avoid being dismissed or held accountable.
Those who follow Netanyahu’s recent statements in the United States of America conclude that he was the one who gave the instructions to escalate the assassinations in Lebanon, and that his policy and approach is to continue striking Hezbollah’s strongholds with all force, until all his goals are achieved, most importantly the undermining of the foundations of Hezbollah and the return of the settlers from the north. To their homes, which is the same scenario he is working on in the Gaza Strip, as Netanyahu insists on continuing the war there until its goals are achieved, most notably the elimination of the Hamas movement, the liberation of Israeli detainees, and the return of the settlers of the Gaza Strip to their homes from which they fled on October 7.
According to observers, it is unreasonable at this stage, especially after the liquidation of Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah, and a number of party leaders and cadres, for Netanyahu to lean toward a political solution, suggesting that he will continue the war in both Gaza and Beirut. In fact, preparations are underway to test the terrain. difficult times in Lebanon, in order to start a ground invasion.
Similar scenario
The researcher specializing in Israeli affairs, Imad Abu Awad, says that Israel continues its war on Gaza without any attention to political initiatives or UN and international resolutions, and at the gates of the first year of the war, it is directing its fire these days towards Lebanon, inflicting massive losses in lives, property and facilities, in a completely similar scenario. What happened in the Gaza Strip.
Abu Awad explains: “The two sides (Gaza and Beirut) cannot accept the Israeli conditions after all these waves of displacement, the huge numbers of victims, and the destruction of buildings, before the Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip and stopping the war on the two fronts,” stressing: “It is difficult, if not It would not be impossible to isolate the fate of Lebanon from Gaza.”
While Washington believes that there is still enough time to reach a political settlement that prevents the outbreak of a comprehensive war, it seems interested in eliminating the Hamas movement in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, and this is because it describes these movements and organizations as terrorist, which… Observers considered it an American encouragement and a green light for Israel to continue the war on both fronts, which raised great fears among the Lebanese about facing the Gaza scenario.
