At the same time, attention is drawn to… Syria Where received Israel Blame it on Hezbollah In exploiting the situation there to enhance its regional influence.
“Today’s fileHe discussed with his guests the dimensions of these tensions, and possible scenarios for the collapse of the truce or its continuation.
Mutual violations… Israeli threats and Hezbollah’s responses
The program reviewed the mutual violations witnessed in recent days, including Israeli raids Which targeted the town of Betley in South Lebanonwhich resulted in deaths.
Journalist Sawsan Muhanna confirmed that the agreement signed between Hezbollah and Israel contains ambiguous provisions, which leaves the room open for multiple interpretations that lead to continuous violations by both parties.
Israel and freedom of military action
Lecturer at the Western Galilee Academy, Moshe Elad, discussed the Israeli policy of “freedom of military action,” as Tel Aviv considered that the agreement does not prevent it from targeting Hezbollah inside Lebanon or Syria.
Elad indicated that Israel views any attempts to transfer weapons to Syria or rearm as a direct violation of the agreement, which gives it justification for continued air strikes.
The role of the Five-Year Committee in implementing the agreement
The discussion touched on the role of the five-member committee, which includes representatives of the Lebanese and Israeli armies, along with the United States, France, and UNIFIL forces, in monitoring the implementation of the ceasefire agreement.
Muhanna pointed out that this committee faces great challenges, especially with the lack of clarity on the mechanism for dealing with violations, stressing that the committee may be the decisive element in calming the situation if its role is activated seriously.
Hezbollah and the agreement… between implementation and challenges
Muhanna confirmed that Hezbollah finds it difficult to fully implement the agreement, especially with regard to withdrawing weapons from the south of the Litani, as these weapons are considered part of its defense strategy.
She added that the party faces internal and regional pressures that may affect its future decisions, but the repeated Israeli violations force it to respond to ensure that the balance of deterrence is maintained.
The position of the Lebanese government
The episode discussed the Lebanese government’s position on the escalation, as Muhanna stressed that the government finds itself in a difficult situation between preserving Lebanon’s sovereignty and ensuring that the agreement does not collapse.
She pointed out that the government relies on the Five-Year Committee to ease tensions, but it faces major challenges in dealing with Israeli pressure and international demands.
Future scenarios
Elad concluded the discussion by presenting his vision for the future of the agreement, noting that both parties have an interest in continuing the calm, but the growing tensions may lead to escalation if violations are not checked.
For her part, Muhanna stressed that the agreement may last if it is implemented with a clear mechanism, with the need to make concessions from both sides to ensure its continuity.
In light of the continuing escalation and mutual violations, the future of the truce between Hezbollah and Israel remains dependent on the balance between regional and international interests.
Will the parties succeed in avoiding open confrontation, or will the agreement witness a collapse that will return the region to the cycle of conflict?
