Lebanon and Israel…a bet on a truce and American pressure

Sources confirmed to Sky News Arabia that the Lebanese and Israeli sides had overcome the obstacles that stood before the agreement.

While the question remains: Did the recent escalation contribute to improving negotiation conditions? Does this escalation in its final hours threaten to undermine efforts at a solution?

Here, the writer and political researcher Hassan Al-Durr explains, during his talk to the newsroom on “Sky News Arabia”, that this success depends on the circumstances and information exchanged between all parties concerned, adding:

• Consensus was reached between the Lebanese and Israeli sides on all points related to the agreement, although there were some details that were overcome.
• Speaker of the Lebanese House of Representatives, Nabih Berri, confirmed that the announcement of the agreement will occur within 36 hours after the completion of the formal arrangements for each country.
• The existence of a decision and political consensus between Lebanon, IsraelandUS To stop the war.
• The Iranian side affirms its support for any decision taken by the Lebanese government, in addition to the implementation of International Resolution 1701.
• The 60-day period is a period of deployment and concentration of the Lebanese army in the south Litani River In parallel with the Israeli army’s withdrawal from it.
• The Lebanese side did not waive any comment related to the agreement.
• Under no circumstances will Lebanon give Israel the freedom to move by land and air within Lebanese territory.
• If the ceasefire and the terms of the agreement are adhered to within sixty days, a comprehensive ceasefire will be headed towards.
• There is an intersection of interests between Hezbollah and the Islamic Republic of Iran.

For his part, the military and strategic expert, Brigadier General Khaled Hamadeh, considers that the points included in the ceasefire agreement were part of the document presented by Amos Hochstein, which was met with objection by Lebanon and Hezbollah.

• seek US As a military force to avoid getting involved in any international conflict.
• The United States suddenly moved from the stage of sponsoring the negotiation to the stage of imposing the agreement.
• The Lebanese government was keen to avoid clashes with… Hezbollah andTehran.
• The US-backed agreement does not take into account what Tehran considers untouchable red lines, such as disarming Hezbollah and dismantling its military structure in the southern Litani.
• Clauses Resolution 1559 or 1680 were included indirectly in the agreement document.
• Lebanon, as a legitimate state, does not recognize the presence of any weapons in the southern Litani River except those of the Lebanese state.
• Lebanon’s signing of Resolution 1701 is not considered a retreat on the Lebanese side, but rather an expression of Lebanese commitment to the Taif Agreement and evidence of Lebanon’s adherence to its sovereignty through adherence to Resolution 1701.
• spread Lebanese Army In the south during the 60 days, there is evidence of Lebanon’s sovereignty and it is an appropriate opportunity to elect a president for Lebanon and form a new government.
• Nabih Berri and Hezbollah will find themselves facing a national responsibility towards the Lebanese people when making any decision.

On the other hand, Hussein Abdel Hussein, a researcher at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, during his conversation with the newsroom, denied that this agreement was the result of American pressure, especially in the wake of the recent tension in Israeli-American relations.

• What is happening today is a request submitted by the Israeli army to the American military leadership to end the war through diplomatic means, after Israel was able to achieve the goals it announced.
• The Israeli army demands that Hezbollah be prevented from being rearmed through these negotiations.
• The sixty-day period of truce and ceasefire is considered an experience and a message sent from the United States and Israel to President Berri.
• During the truce period, Israel will not reduce its level of preparedness in the region, and residents of the north will not be allowed to return to their homes during this period.
• Iran will not abandon Hezbollah in any way, but it lost it during the battle.
• Both the Israeli and American sides are waiting for the Lebanese government to impose its control over southern Lebanon for the continuation of the truce and the possibility of returning if it adheres to the 1949 truce and avoids escalation between the two sides.