The study conducted by the German Bertelsmann Foundation indicated that in order to provide sufficient manpower, there will be a need for about 288,000 foreign workers annually by 2040.
The study stated that labor migration to… Germany At present it is much less than required.
The Foundation’s immigration affairs expert, Susan Schulz, said in statements to the German News Agency that obstacles must be reduced and conditions for immigrants must be improved.
A second forecast model assumes that there will be a need for 368,000 migrant workers annually until 2040. From 2041 to 2060 – based on the positive effects of previous migration – the average need is expected to reach about 270,000 migrant workers annually.
Without additional immigrants, the study expects a decline Work force From its current number of 46.4 million workers to 41.9 million workers – that is, an increase of about 10 percent – due to demographic change.
The study indicated that in the event of a lack of immigration, the effects will be different at the regional level, as the decline in the labor force in the most populous state (North Rhine-Westphalia) will be approximately average, with a decline of 10 percent. The states of Thuringia, Saxony-Anhalt and Saarland will be most affected.
The staff shortage will also be significant in the states of Bavaria, Baden-Württemberg and Hesse.
