Sky News ArabiaI discussed with the political and academic researcher, Muhammad Saleh Sedqian, the latest developments in this file.
The project presented by the European Troika (France, Britain, Germany) and was supported by UScalls on Iran to fully disclose suspected nuclear activities in undeclared facilities, which increases tension in Western-Iranian relations.
A new report reveals Iranian violations
During the meeting, Sadiqian explained that the report International Atomic Energy Agency The latter revealed that Iran has exceeded the restrictions stipulated in the 2015 agreement on… Uranium enrichment.
According to the report, Iran exceeded the permissible limits by up to 60% Uranium Enriched, which raises concern in the West about the possibility of turning it into a nuclear weapon.
Sedqian added that Iran It has shown some cooperation with the agency, but there are still many doubts about Tehran’s intentions and its continued refusal to provide satisfactory answers about some of the sites where traces of uranium were found.
Iran is under pressure
Regarding the impact of the current pressures on Tehran’s position, Sadeghian said that there is a strong possibility of the return of the “maximum pressure” policy that the United States adopted during the Trump era, as the United States imposed strict economic sanctions on Iran.
He added that these sanctions were aimed at forcing Iran to return to the negotiating table and fully comply with International Atomic Energy Agency resolutions.
Sadeqian pointed out that Iran may find itself in a diplomatic dilemma, especially if Western economic and military pressure continues.
Sanctions and political pressure… serious consequences for Iran
The discussion touched on the consequences of these sanctions on the Iranian economy, with Sadeghian noting that the sanctions had a significant impact on economic life in Iran, including a decline in the local currency, increased inflation rates, and significant pressures on the banking system.
At the same time, Sedqian added that Iran may resort to further escalation in the region, by moving some of its agents in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, to increase pressure on the West.
Western options
Regarding the options available to the West, especially if Iran continues to refuse to provide satisfactory answers to the International Atomic Energy Agency, Sedqian stressed that the West may choose more economic sanctions or perhaps impose political consequences that may include targeting Iran’s military projects in the region.
He added that these measures may contribute to reducing Iran’s ability to maneuver in nuclear issues, but at the same time they may contribute to increasing escalation in the region.
What is the role of China and Russia?
In the context of the discussion, Dr. Sedqian also raised the role of China and Russia in this file, as he pointed out that these two countries still constitute a major ally of Iran in UN Security CouncilThus, it could hinder any Western action against Iran.
Sadiqian stressed that Iran seeks to benefit from this political support, as it tries to avoid decisions that may increase its international isolation.
Future negotiations
Regarding the possibility of returning negotiations between Iran and the major powers after this escalation, Sedqian said that the chances of returning to the negotiating table may be difficult in light of the current escalation.
However, he noted that Iran is still seeking economic and security guarantees from the West in exchange for restricting its nuclear program, which may lead to reopening channels of dialogue in the future.
The Iranian nuclear future and the upcoming challenges
Dr. Sadeqian stressed that the Iranian nuclear crisis will remain pivotal in Western-Iranian relations. With the continuing escalation and international pressure, the question remains whether Iran will retreat from its nuclear policy, or will continue to challenge the West, which may further exacerbate the crisis.
