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Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Maximum pressure policy.. Will Trump be Trump’s trump card against Iran?

Maximum pressure policy.. Will Trump be Trump’s trump card against Iran?

Sky News Arabia reviewed the effects of the maximum pressure policy that the Trump administration may continue to apply to… IranHow will Tehran respond to these pressures?

Trump and ongoing politics

Former CIA official Scott Olinger provided his analysis about the future of relations between… Washington andTehran.

And about the management approach Trump In dealing with Iran, especially in light of expectations that the Trump administration will continue to implement the policy of maximum pressure on Tehran, Olinger stressed that Trump will remain committed to this policy, which aims to weaken the Iranian economy and limit its nuclear capabilities.

Olinger added that this policy may eventually force Iran to negotiate, but the negotiations will be conditional on strict conditions aimed at imposing strict control over the Iranian nuclear program.

Iran is in a weak position

Sky News Arabia discussed with Olinger the challenges facing Iran, noting that it is in a weak position economically and militarily, making it more open to negotiations. According to Olinger, the US sanctions had a significant impact on Iran’s ability to export oil, which led to a decline in its revenues.

He explained that Iran may find it difficult to evade these sanctions, especially with increasing pressure from the West.

Olinger pointed out that Iran may eventually be forced to acknowledge the necessity of entering into negotiations, but only if the negotiations require careful inspection of its nuclear program, which will not be easily acceptable to the Iranian regime.

The European “snapback”… increasing threats against Iran

The discussion also touched on the position of the European powers, which may put pressure on Iran by activating the “snapback” mechanism if the negotiations fail before October 2025. Here, Olinger explained that this mechanism means the return of UN sanctions against Iran, which will put enormous economic pressure on it.

He stressed that Iran today faces a difficult situation that may push it to negotiate, but under intense pressure from all parties.

In statements by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, he stressed that Iran will not accept the application of any pressure under threat and intimidation, which highlights the large gap between the positions of Iran on the one hand, and the international community on the other hand.

While the Trump administration continues its policy of maximum pressure on Iran, Tehran remains in a critical position, as it faces increasing economic pressure and threats of a “snapback.” As tensions rise, questions remain about whether Iran will respond to negotiations or continue to resist Western pressure.



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