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100 armed movements put Sudan on the brink of civil war

100 armed movements put Sudan on the brink of civil war

The past few hours have witnessed a sharp escalation in tension between armed tribal groups in the east Sudan And the Darfuri movements fighting alongside the army, and tension reached the point of warning of imminent clashes in the city.

A few hours after a group calling itself the “Beja Youth Movement” announced the closure of eastern Sudan until the forces of the Darfur movements were removed from it, informed sources said that military authorities in Port Sudan It imposed severe restrictions on the movements of members of the armed movements within the city, and directed the army forces not to allow any vehicles belonging to the armed movements to pass without prior permission from the security authorities in the city.

Motives and ambitions

Observers considered that most of the movements that have emerged recently have motives to benefit from the privileges, which was expressed by Shaybah Dirar, the leader of the forces of the Alliance of Parties and Movements of Eastern Sudan, which is one of the armed movements that emerged in eastern Sudan. Sudan Recently, he said, “We want our share of the region’s money and we want our share of positions just like other armed movements.”

Most of the armed movements that have emerged during the past period do not have a specific methodological vision, but they exploit the absence of state prestige to impose the reality of force in specific areas, especially in light of the spread of weapons outside official frameworks.

Unlawfulness and competition

In fact, the tribal and regional alignment that accompanied the current war led to intense competition over mobilization operations, which in turn led to the birth of new militias in addition to those that began to multiply since the beginning of the current century, and whose number before the war reached about 87 movements, most of which were concentrated in the region. Darfur andKordofan.

Political activist Hisham Abbas describes the rapid proliferation of armed militias during the recent period as “creating chaos,” and accuses the official agencies of contributing to fueling the phenomenon. He says, “They create militias and support them, and then they rebound on the security of the country. Instead of addressing the problem from its foundations, they adopt a new chaos to confront the chaos that They did it before and in this way the whole country turned into chaos without learning the lesson.”

Serious indicators

While the situation remained relatively unchanged in the Darfur region, the alignments that resulted from the war increased the possibilities of imminent confrontations, as the movements in the region were divided between those loyal to the army, another to the Rapid Support, and a third who chose neutrality.

On the other hand, he testifies Eastern Sudan Noticeable tension due to the steady increase of new movements in light of the current state of tension and the tendency to oppose the presence of the Darfuri movements allied with the army, especially the movements of Jibril Ibrahim and Minni Arki Minawi.

The matter reached its peak last week, which witnessed public media exchanges that quickly turned into threats that required a state of preparedness and mobilization for each party towards the other.

Al-Amin Maysara, a former officer in… Sudanese army The researcher in military affairs pointed out the danger of the policy of using militias and the disastrous security repercussions that result from that, saying: “Resisting to militias leads to neglect of the army and destroys the foundations of military hierarchy and discipline.”

Maysara links the current state of reproduction to a historical context, as he told Sky News Arabia: “With the intensification of the war in the south in the early 1990s, and after that in Darfur, people took refuge in… Brotherhood system To form militias and use them to fill the deficit that resulted from the dismissal of large numbers of officers after the 1989 coup, in order to reduce the financial cost and protect the army from international oversight in the event of violations.

In light of the current stagnation, Maysara believes that solutions will become very difficult. He explains, “The large number of armed militias that have reached the present time will make any future merger or demobilization process very difficult, and even if the war ends, the chaos will continue.”



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